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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
AckbarBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)50% (19–19, n=38)46% (560–667, n=1227)
Consensus PnL-$21K$9.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #746PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (7 of 7 open)62% (18 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +5 pts n=32, ROI +2%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won56% of 34 at avg 51¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%11% (won 80% of 61)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 44% of 9)35% (won 98% of 203)
Entries 50–70¢74% (won 60% of 25)35% (won 100% of 201)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 115)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAckbarBreakTheBank
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $5.0KJazz $31K