PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ABC12345654321t89e4ygf6PitterMEPP
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (108–128, n=236)49% (225–232, n=457)65% (345–184, n=529)
Consensus PnL—$15K$49K$557K
Tracked asPM monthly #497was PM monthly #987Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #959 + pinned
Sides with the consensus37% (13 of 35 open)0% (0 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)79% (65 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +12 pts n=211, ROI +3%
  • F1 +20 pts n=18, ROI −18%
  • MLB +15 pts n=22, ROI −25%
Weakest topic——Politics −5 pts, n=52Entertainment −18 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won74% of 291 at avg 61¢, ROI −15%91% of 121 at avg 54¢, ROI +38%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 47% of 15)6% (won 71% of 7)53% (won 6% of 545)20% (won 14% of 151)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 52% of 84)31% (won 92% of 38)13% (won 50% of 136)11% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 75% of 107)46% (won 89% of 56)17% (won 65% of 175)19% (won 66% of 144)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 99% of 85)17% (won 100% of 20)16% (won 92% of 163)51% (won 93% of 390)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketABC12345654321t89e4ygf6PitterMEPP
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $99——Yes $7.0K
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
same side · consensus No
——No $97No $4.8K