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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ABC12345654321 | bamesjond | Pitter | rocroi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 88% (130–18, n=148) | 49% (225–232, n=457) | 67% (28–14, n=42) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$572K | $49K | $149K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #497 | Hand-picked | Hand-picked | PM monthly #460 |
| Sides with the consensus | 37% (13 of 35 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Politics −5 pts, n=52 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 291 at avg 61¢, ROI −15% | 95% of 1059 at avg 92¢, ROI +2% | 36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1% | 58% of 36 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 47% of 15) | 5% (won 12% of 52) | 53% (won 6% of 545) | 36% (won 23% of 13) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 52% of 84) | 1% (won 63% of 8) | 13% (won 50% of 136) | 8% (won 67% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 75% of 107) | 3% (won 77% of 30) | 17% (won 65% of 175) | 33% (won 67% of 12) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 99% of 85) | 92% (won 100% of 969) | 16% (won 92% of 163) | 22% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.