PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
88888x88888forrestgumperRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (413–493, n=906)49% (7116–7479, n=14595)
Consensus PnL—$62K$13.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #166PM monthly #500Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)20% (1 of 5 open)52% (87 of 168 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—63% of 627 at avg 48¢, ROI +7%93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 23% of 185)10% (won 52% of 2020)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 54% of 119)22% (won 93% of 4355)
Entries 50–70¢—25% (won 83% of 157)37% (won 99% of 7260)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 95% of 166)31% (won 100% of 5998)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market88888x88888forrestgumperRN1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $100Yes $9.6K