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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 7ViziCapitale | denizz | RememberAmalek | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 70% (207–87, n=294) | 74% (470–167, n=637) | 59% (363–253, n=616) |
| Consensus PnL | -$97 | $2.3M | $1.1M | $883K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #976 | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #153 | PM monthly #227 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 93% (25 of 27 open) | 54% (81 of 149 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | Crypto −1 pts, n=10 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 61% of 525 at avg 50¢, ROI +5% | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 37% (won 10% of 193) | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 13% (won 67% of 66) | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 14% (won 88% of 74) | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 37% (won 99% of 192) | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 7ViziCapitale | denizz | RememberAmalek | Wiretransferxyz |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $40K | Yes $549 | — |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $32K | No $6 | — |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $12K | Yes $115 | — |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.3K | Yes $2.6K | — |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $11K | Yes $1.6K | — |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | No $4.8K | — |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.1K | No $1.1K | — |