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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (3518–4461, n=7979) | 45% (516–628, n=1144) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$21K | $10.4M | $5.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #960 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (58 of 92 open) | 67% (26 of 39 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $11 | No $247K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7 | No $38K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6 | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $18 | No $35K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11 | Yes $27K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13 | Yes $259K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1 | Yes $30K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $27 | No $14K | — | — |