PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
241532532432christianoxGourmet1neymar1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (60–63, n=123)73% (161–59, n=220)47% (342–390, n=732)
Consensus PnL—-$102K$3.4M$473K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994PM monthly #230PM monthly #620was PM monthly #414
Sides with the consensus52% (11 of 21 open)no open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)81% (13 of 16 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +9 pts n=16, ROI −1%
Weakest topic—MMA −1 pts, n=89——
Settled positions, side won—50% of 113 at avg 51¢, ROI −4%78% of 91 at avg 45¢, ROI +28%82% of 439 at avg 37¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 16% of 19)20% (won 56% of 18)32% (won 65% of 141)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 43% of 35)43% (won 87% of 39)46% (won 87% of 200)
Entries 50–70¢—28% (won 59% of 32)31% (won 82% of 28)21% (won 96% of 94)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 74% of 27)7% (won 67% of 6)1% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.