PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
241532532432RevengeRangeGourmet1csgostar
Record (consensus markets)no settled market56% (1262–989, n=2251)73% (161–59, n=220)67% (2–1, n=3)
Consensus PnL—$280K$3.4M$40K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994PM monthly #320PM monthly #620PM monthly #427
Sides with the consensus52% (11 of 21 open)no open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +2 pts n=2114, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=26, ROI +28%
  • NBA +4 pts n=26, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −2 pts, n=29——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 2249 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%78% of 91 at avg 45¢, ROI +28%100% of 2 at avg 70¢, ROI +29%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 24% of 179)20% (won 56% of 18)0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 41% of 776)43% (won 87% of 39)0%
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 61% of 888)31% (won 82% of 28)50% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 88% of 406)7% (won 67% of 6)50% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.