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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 1lovejump | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (21–3, n=24) | 53% (23–20, n=43) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 54% (233–198, n=431) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3K | $543K | $421K | $261K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #982 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (78 of 117 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 1lovejump | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $21K | — | Thunder $5.9K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Trail Blazers $563 | — | Thunder $5.2K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $111 | — | Thunder $4.4K |