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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026beachboy4capnjack1497RN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6673, n=10322)no settled market31% (49–111, n=160)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL$3.0M—-$64K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #621—was PM monthly #979PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (15 of 20 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position59% (20 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NHL +5 pts n=109, ROI +15%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——46% of 109 at avg 41¢, ROI +15%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢——29% (won 16% of 32)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢——28% (won 40% of 30)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢——43% (won 70% of 47)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up——0%33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026beachboy4capnjack1497RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K——Over $1.5K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $11K——Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
Philip Henning $79——Philip Henning $8.0K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
Dalibor Svrcina $5.2K——Dalibor Svrcina $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K——Over $360