Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankKunkun111
Record (consensus markets)35% (3645–6671, n=10316)45% (573–710, n=1283)67% (12–6, n=18)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$7.9M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #478PM monthly #3PM monthly #784
Sides with the consensus76% (13 of 17 open)76% (26 of 34 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%79% of 14 at avg 38¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)43% (won 67% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)21% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)7% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankKunkun111
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton $8.4K—Arthur Rinderknech $5.6K