PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8sainttroplay00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)70% (14–6, n=20)71% (10–4, n=14)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (516–628, n=1144)
Consensus PnL-$22K$4.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #860was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus82% (9 of 11 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position67% (28 of 42 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=83, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=278, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—0%0%10% (won 83% of 54)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)0%35% (won 98% of 188)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 99% of 182)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%0%20% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8sainttroplay00gringo00BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $9.3K——No $152K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $49K——Yes $30K
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $41K——No $7.9K