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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (14–6, n=20) | 45% (516–628, n=1144) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$22K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #860 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (9 of 11 open) | 67% (28 of 42 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 83% of 54) | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 188) | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 182) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 106) | 0% | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.3K | No $152K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $49K | Yes $30K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $41K | No $7.9K | — | — |