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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf62B709646bdf9bc15BEDB094eE6AC062857844A-1763873985459BreakTheBankfantasy7788HomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)82% (9–2, n=11)57% (28–21, n=49)50% (6–6, n=12)53% (295–258, n=553)
Consensus PnL$30K$758K$469K$304K
Tracked asPM monthly #988PM monthly #1PM monthly #37PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)57% (4 of 7 open)0% (0 of 1 open)75% (48 of 64 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢—0%20% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—57% (won 100% of 13)20% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 100% of 9)60% (won 100% of 3)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 1)0%10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf62B709646bdf9bc15BEDB094eE6AC062857844A-1763873985459BreakTheBankfantasy7788HomeRunHazard
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Wild
Wild $8.3K——Maple Leafs $488
Avalanche vs. Senators
opposite sides · consensus Avalanche
Avalanche $7.3K——Senators $1.3K