Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf0afe8f44d0e37c3ca79dc6b0f673be64b6160d8-1793924634653gmpm2googleplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (2–2, n=4)50% (5–5, n=10)66% (480–245, n=725)
Consensus PnL—-$6.1K$430K-$157K
Tracked asPM monthly #912PM monthly #73PM monthly #17PM monthly #47 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position86% (6 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—56% of 9 at avg 54¢, ROI −10%100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—0%0%6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 67% of 3)20% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—56% (won 40% of 5)80% (won 100% of 4)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up—11% (won 100% of 1)0%51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.