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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bBreakTheBankdenizzlastminwin
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (291–13, n=304)57% (34–26, n=60)86% (12–2, n=14)
Consensus PnL—$8.4M$1.1M$285K
Tracked asPM monthly #788PM monthly #1PM monthly #161PM monthly #102
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)82% (32 of 39 open)89% (24 of 27 open)74% (43 of 58 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%——
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)——
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)——
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)——
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bBreakTheBankdenizzlastminwin
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $71K—No $15K
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.4KYes $284