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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xef7adeb3037a6fb74cb51a47f532e38a941951d0-1794047556243BreakTheBankdenizzgoogleplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (12–8, n=20)no settled market40% (2–3, n=5)
Consensus PnL—$779K$0$391K
Tracked asPM monthly #951PM monthly #1PM monthly #152PM monthly #15
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
Weakest topic——Politics −2 pts, n=16—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)26% (won 6% of 63)0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)12% (won 57% of 30)19% (won 70% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)13% (won 66% of 32)76% (won 85% of 41)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)49% (won 96% of 120)6% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.