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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc023bee917480fed315d186a7b223f33c09a0fe8-1793567845085BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market56% (20–16, n=36)75% (730–246, n=976)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$822K$69K$2
Tracked asPM monthly #169PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #153
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position33% (2 of 6 open)63% (52 of 82 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +52 pts n=11, ROI +49%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won0% of 2 at avg 14¢, ROI +48%100% of 20 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 0% of 2)0%34% (won 10% of 30)100% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢0%60% (won 100% of 12)19% (won 29% of 17)0%
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 100% of 7)13% (won 55% of 11)0%
Entries 70¢ and up0%5% (won 100% of 1)34% (won 83% of 30)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.