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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (6–6, n=12)54% (345–290, n=635)
Consensus PnL$0$423K$403K
Tracked asPM monthly #946PM monthly #20PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position51% (56 of 109 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—0%14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—17% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢—83% (won 100% of 5)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.