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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xA0657D2B591E35eE216c76ad1AdF8e9386b7F043-1779887388672fantasy7788googleplayHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (12–10, n=22)50% (6–6, n=12)54% (361–305, n=666)
Consensus PnL$0$576K$423K$444K
Tracked asPM monthly #885PM monthly #35PM monthly #17PM monthly #6
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position75% (127 of 169 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 11 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 100% of 1)0%1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—45% (won 100% of 5)17% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 100% of 4)83% (won 100% of 5)59% (won 100% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up—9% (won 100% of 1)0%8% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.