← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| supersmard | manekineko | beheo123 | Kangta8585 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (37–23, n=60) | 87% (337–52, n=389) | 66% (29–15, n=44) | 67% (1055–511, n=1566) |
| Consensus PnL | $80K | $76K | $44K | $350K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #368 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #982 | was PM monthly #863 |
| Sides with the consensus | 39% (7 of 18 open) | 75% (9 of 12 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Politics −2 pts, n=55 | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=55 |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 60 at avg 44¢, ROI +18% | 86% of 444 at avg 85¢, ROI +1% | 86% of 28 at avg 56¢, ROI +33% | 67% of 2102 at avg 58¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 37% of 19) | 8% (won 9% of 34) | 18% (won 40% of 5) | 4% (won 26% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 73% of 15) | 4% (won 35% of 17) | 14% (won 100% of 4) | 24% (won 53% of 507) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 100% of 19) | 5% (won 63% of 24) | 36% (won 100% of 10) | 50% (won 70% of 1052) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 100% of 7) | 83% (won 97% of 369) | 32% (won 89% of 9) | 22% (won 84% of 462) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.