PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market78% (21–6, n=27)63% (39–23, n=62)62% (13737–8492, n=22229)
Consensus PnL—$13K-$1.0K$15K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998PM monthly #380was PM monthly #997was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +32 pts n=7099, ROI +24%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −5 pts, n=17—Tennis −2 pts, n=77—
Settled positions, side won64% of 185 at avg 45¢, ROI +14%—96% of 77 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%85% of 7099 at avg 53¢, ROI +24%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 23% of 40)—1% (won 0% of 1)3% (won 17% of 210)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 65% of 48)—0%23% (won 82% of 1610)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 81% of 88)—0%71% (won 88% of 5012)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 78% of 9)—99% (won 97% of 76)4% (won 96% of 267)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.