PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8Bb006d1bB8b1C5735DA79E81637e3dad6E3ca79-1768601841360melganisthismonth
Record (consensus markets)no settled market79% (1030–277, n=1307)63% (417–244, n=661)
Consensus PnL—$55K$75K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #676
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (30 of 41 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +28 pts n=614, ROI +10%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −5 pts, n=17Crypto −2 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won64% of 185 at avg 45¢, ROI +14%74% of 1660 at avg 69¢, ROI +2%63% of 618 at avg 35¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 23% of 40)20% (won 7% of 324)43% (won 40% of 266)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 65% of 48)6% (won 41% of 99)33% (won 72% of 205)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 81% of 88)8% (won 70% of 125)18% (won 92% of 110)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 78% of 9)67% (won 97% of 1112)6% (won 95% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.