PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293goldmynameChampions26darkumbreon88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (94–63, n=157)64% (381–212, n=593)66% (1624–844, n=2468)
Consensus PnL—-$5.0K$19K-$6.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #749was PM monthly #960was PM monthly #597was PM monthly #833
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)40% (2 of 5 open)67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +3 pts n=29, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +5 pts n=30, ROI +7%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=79, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=199, ROI +31%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=73Soccer −1 pts, n=372—
Settled positions, side won—64% of 157 at avg 68¢, ROI 0%62% of 378 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%100% of 1444 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 20% of 5)4% (won 35% of 17)1% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢—45% (won 33% of 70)9% (won 34% of 35)9% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 67% of 12)52% (won 59% of 196)38% (won 100% of 552)
Entries 70¢ and up—45% (won 99% of 70)34% (won 78% of 130)51% (won 100% of 743)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293goldmynameChampions26darkumbreon88
Suns vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $6.5K—Thunder $1.1K
Wizards vs. Hornets
same side · consensus Hornets
—Wizards $263—Wizards $50