PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293goldmynamedarkumbreon880x071641292ee6fac7bc752e05a1a536f7654c522b
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (94–63, n=157)66% (1624–844, n=2468)49% (49–50, n=99)
Consensus PnL—-$5.0K-$6.7K-$1.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #749was PM monthly #960was PM monthly #833was PM monthly #958
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)67% (8 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +3 pts n=29, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +5 pts n=30, ROI +7%
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=79, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=199, ROI +31%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=73—Tennis −4 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won—64% of 157 at avg 68¢, ROI 0%100% of 1444 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%92% of 65 at avg 95¢, ROI −5%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 20% of 5)1% (won 100% of 16)5% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—45% (won 33% of 70)9% (won 100% of 133)0%
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 67% of 12)38% (won 100% of 552)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—45% (won 99% of 70)51% (won 100% of 743)95% (won 94% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293goldmynamedarkumbreon880x071641292ee6fac7bc752e05a1a536f7654c522b
Suns vs. Thunder
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $6.5KThunder $1.1K—
Wizards vs. Hornets
same side · consensus Hornets
—Wizards $263Wizards $50—