PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293HaileyWelchVetchmaiqiuyangjia
Record (consensus markets)no settled market59% (52–36, n=88)63% (285–168, n=453)65% (34–18, n=52)
Consensus PnL—$278K$329K$224K
Tracked asPM monthly #749was PM monthly #614was PM monthly #688was PM monthly #403
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +15 pts n=76, ROI −5%
  • Esports +16 pts n=142, ROI +25%
  • Tennis +12 pts n=68, ROI +33%
  • NHL +8 pts n=31, ROI +16%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=38, ROI +34%
  • NBA +24 pts n=21, ROI +7%
Weakest topic——NFL −6 pts, n=19—
Settled positions, side won—84% of 82 at avg 71¢, ROI +6%68% of 437 at avg 60¢, ROI +17%77% of 78 at avg 45¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 10)13% (won 25% of 55)6% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 80% of 5)22% (won 55% of 95)73% (won 86% of 57)
Entries 50–70¢—18% (won 87% of 15)29% (won 69% of 127)21% (won 63% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up—63% (won 100% of 52)37% (won 89% of 160)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.