PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6e82b93eb57b01a63027bd0c6d2f3f04934a752cbeachboy4sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)58% (155–110, n=265)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (514–628, n=1142)
Consensus PnL$1.1M$5.8M$4.4M$10.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #579 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus89% (8 of 9 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position66% (25 of 38 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won86% of 640 at avg 55¢, ROI +33%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 52% of 46)3% (won 17% of 6)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 79% of 145)29% (won 56% of 62)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 91% of 340)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 93% of 109)14% (won 86% of 29)0%20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6e82b93eb57b01a63027bd0c6d2f3f04934a752cbeachboy4sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $55K——No $145K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $17——Yes $25K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13K——Yes $4.9K