Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1vtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (13363–14875, n=28238)46% (269–313, n=582)
Consensus PnL—$14.8M$73K
Tracked as—PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #288
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (187 of 286 open)67% (10 of 15 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%45% of 531 at avg 44¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 57% of 2538)42% (won 3% of 223)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5565)17% (won 33% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 9017)13% (won 78% of 69)
Entries 70¢ and up—33% (won 100% of 8250)28% (won 99% of 151)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.