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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBanklossx
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–666, n=1226)68% (265–124, n=389)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$11K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2was PM monthly #959
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (12 of 22 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +3 pts n=35, ROI −11%
Weakest topic——Esports −1 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%55% of 93 at avg 54¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)14% (won 23% of 13)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)30% (won 39% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)32% (won 60% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)24% (won 86% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.