PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market77% (33–10, n=43)60% (246–162, n=408)49% (36–38, n=74)
Consensus PnL—$112K$43K$27K
Tracked asPM monthly #513PM monthly #938PM monthly #383was PM monthly #851
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position77% (10 of 13 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—70% of 47 at avg 48¢, ROI +24%99% of 419 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%89% of 38 at avg 52¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 75% of 4)12% (won 100% of 50)3% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 60% of 25)13% (won 96% of 56)32% (won 83% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 83% of 18)34% (won 99% of 142)66% (won 96% of 25)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%41% (won 99% of 171)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.