PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x51A47545d367d39ef11f9b2aB70a458c2B4fAB73-1770660706727sainttroplay00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (10–4, n=14)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (502–616, n=1118)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$3.5M$11.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #956was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 3 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position70% (23 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won67% of 3 at avg 21¢, ROI +44%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢67% (won 50% of 2)0%0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 100% of 1)50% (won 100% of 5)0%35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢0%50% (won 100% of 5)100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up0%0%0%20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.