Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816joseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market44% (193–242, n=435)66% (480–243, n=723)
Consensus PnL——$17K-$141K
Tracked asPM monthly #677PM monthly #6PM monthly #45PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position73% (11 of 15 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 0% of 1)38% (won 100% of 51)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—69% (won 67% of 9)50% (won 100% of 67)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up—15% (won 100% of 2)7% (won 100% of 9)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816joseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
——Buvaysar Gadamauri $3.2KBuvaysar Gadamauri $5.1K