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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | googleplay | guilttrip | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (10–8, n=18) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 86% (6–1, n=7) | 54% (312–261, n=573) |
| Consensus PnL | $792K | $423K | $13K | $425K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #751 | PM monthly #134 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 27% (25 of 93 open) | 53% (63 of 120 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 10 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 71% of 7 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 29% (won 0% of 2) | 14% (won 32% of 72) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 24% (won 55% of 121) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 6) | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 57% (won 100% of 4) | 44% (won 69% of 222) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 0% | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 98% of 89) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | googleplay | guilttrip | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $2 | No $4.7K |