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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | smithagent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (4–4, n=8) | 54% (268–231, n=499) | 42% (13–18, n=31) | 73% (169–64, n=233) |
| Consensus PnL | $355K | $278K | $208K | -$3.9K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #34 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #29 | was PM monthly #873 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (49 of 67 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 75% (won 100% of 3) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | smithagent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predators vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Predators | Predators $142K | Ducks $1.0K | — | — |