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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorpiammillionaireMD14
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)71% (2093–854, n=2947)no settled market84% (21–4, n=25)
Consensus PnL$856K$387K—$297K
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #13PM monthly #714PM monthly #118
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (169 of 322 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—95% of 20 at avg 73¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 362)—5% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 43% of 192)—10% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 64% of 103)—15% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 95% of 239)—70% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.