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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | ferdinand2 | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (4–4, n=8) | 54% (25–21, n=46) | 74% (228–82, n=310) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $355K | $737K | $2.3K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #34 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #29 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 57% (69 of 122 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −1 pts, n=90 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 39% of 175 at avg 39¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 49% (won 7% of 85) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 15% (won 37% of 27) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 75% (won 100% of 3) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 15% (won 70% of 27) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 21% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | ferdinand2 | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predators vs. Ducks same side · consensus Ducks | Predators $197K | — | Predators $30 | — |