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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188BreakTheBankDimpled-Foalrobustmst
Record (consensus markets)50% (2–2, n=4)56% (20–16, n=36)no settled market42% (13–18, n=31)
Consensus PnL$344K$822K-$3$208K
Tracked asPM monthly #45PM monthly #1PM monthly #887PM monthly #28
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position33% (2 of 6 open)67% (8 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +40 pts n=29, ROI +35%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=11, ROI +39%
  • NBA +13 pts n=15, ROI +22%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%—82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢0%11% (won 69% of 36)—2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢0%35% (won 97% of 116)—65% (won 78% of 36)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 100% of 1)37% (won 99% of 124)—29% (won 94% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up0%17% (won 100% of 56)—4% (won 50% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.