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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x44f08432078Df89742D60edfA95Eb843e5A6132F-1764199251972BreakTheBankfantasy7788googleplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (12–8, n=20)100% (2–0, n=2)40% (2–3, n=5)
Consensus PnL—$779K$245K$391K
Tracked asPM monthly #897PM monthly #1PM monthly #72PM monthly #15
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)50% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 70% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)50% (won 100% of 1)76% (won 85% of 41)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)0%6% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.