PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x42145460F32A84Dd27DF2dbd7afbeE779213dB99-1759056243872CORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (372–218, n=590)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (501–601, n=1102)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$3.5M$9.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #860PM monthly #161was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position70% (23 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 378 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 91% of 35)0%11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—55% (won 99% of 209)0%34% (won 98% of 169)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 100% of 127)100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 99% of 170)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 7)0%21% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.