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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | auros2 | fantasy7788 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (70–71, n=141) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$383K | $284 | $421K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #270 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #6 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (5 of 15 open) | 66% (86 of 130 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 10 at avg 59¢, ROI +23% | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 20% (won 100% of 2) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | auros2 | fantasy7788 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $162 | Thunder $41 | — | — |