PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x274C45994BfA0912cf8bEe503190952E6Af7DA86-1772189577856sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (10–4, n=14)45% (502–616, n=1118)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$11.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #866was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position70% (23 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won74% of 34 at avg 47¢, ROI +27%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 43% of 7)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 67% of 12)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 91% of 11)50% (won 100% of 5)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 100% of 4)0%20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.