PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x206d008831124c6639058454A99C92BEF28a5eE7-1775511567714ohioismlinethmachinelearned
Record (consensus markets)no settled market83% (23486–4676, n=28162)50% (214–217, n=431)65% (2206–1190, n=3396)
Consensus PnL—$98K$91K$35K
Tracked asPM monthly #712PM monthly #606PM monthly #835PM monthly #578
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position44% (4 of 9 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +19 pts n=16534, ROI +14%
  • Crypto +25 pts n=1294, ROI +21%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—87% of 16534 at avg 68¢, ROI +14%63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17%98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 42% of 1641)41% (won 29% of 177)3% (won 64% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 76% of 1709)14% (won 72% of 58)6% (won 93% of 75)
Entries 50–70¢—22% (won 89% of 3583)16% (won 84% of 67)28% (won 100% of 360)
Entries 70¢ and up—58% (won 96% of 9601)30% (won 94% of 127)63% (won 100% of 818)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.