PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (1799–1380, n=3179)95% (247–12, n=259)
Consensus PnL—$196K$128K
Tracked asPM monthly #674PM monthly #589PM monthly #620
Sides with the consensus54% (19 of 35 open)45% (10 of 22 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +29 pts n=1149, ROI +20%
  • NFL +31 pts n=25, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=26, ROI +12%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—95% of 1206 at avg 66¢, ROI +19%97% of 304 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 64% of 88)6% (won 83% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 91% of 184)29% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢—27% (won 96% of 331)63% (won 98% of 190)
Entries 70¢ and up—50% (won 100% of 603)3% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.