PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702hymolu0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710siick
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (23–1, n=24)49% (1212–1267, n=2479)59% (486–344, n=830)
Consensus PnL—$120K$60K$99K
Tracked asPM monthly #549was PM monthly #944Hand-pickedHand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (5 of 5 open)25% (3 of 12 open)75% (40 of 53 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Geopolitics +12 pts n=445, ROI +4%
  • MMA +14 pts n=212, ROI +20%
  • NHL +14 pts n=95, ROI +17%
Weakest topic——Politics −6 pts, n=74NFL −7 pts, n=19
Settled positions, side won—96% of 24 at avg 91¢, ROI +9%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%68% of 1019 at avg 56¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 0% of 1)24% (won 19% of 254)21% (won 22% of 209)
Entries 30–50¢—0%23% (won 40% of 241)14% (won 57% of 143)
Entries 50–70¢—0%29% (won 70% of 304)30% (won 72% of 304)
Entries 70¢ and up—96% (won 100% of 23)24% (won 89% of 250)36% (won 95% of 363)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702hymolu0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710siick
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $21No $20
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $67Yes $1