PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-17788114477020x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710cqsAhpo
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1212–1267, n=2479)67% (151–73, n=224)95% (1530–85, n=1615)
Consensus PnL—$60K$309K$124K
Tracked asPM monthly #549Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #998was PM monthly #861
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position25% (3 of 12 open)73% (11 of 15 open)100% (13 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74——
Settled positions, side won—55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%70% of 341 at avg 64¢, ROI +5%92% of 1836 at avg 88¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 19% of 254)20% (won 9% of 69)5% (won 14% of 97)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 241)11% (won 47% of 36)3% (won 60% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 70% of 304)13% (won 69% of 45)6% (won 67% of 102)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 89% of 250)56% (won 96% of 191)86% (won 99% of 1582)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-17788114477020x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710cqsAhpo
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $21No $9.5K—