PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x17bec72f65b07cacd12000a0ba0ba162b6b7c52bBoomLaLaPacificRimolegio
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (5216–2802, n=8018)88% (46–6, n=52)49% (348–364, n=712)
Consensus PnL—$644K-$9.1K$15K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994PM monthly #711PM monthly #806was PM monthly #886
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +37 pts n=46, ROI +29%
  • Esports +10 pts n=171, ROI +9%
  • NHL +7 pts n=47, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −3 pts, n=127
Settled positions, side won—85% of 4167 at avg 58¢, ROI +18%86% of 7 at avg 74¢, ROI −18%49% of 691 at avg 43¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 34% of 290)14% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 22% of 129)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 78% of 1465)14% (won 100% of 1)50% (won 44% of 345)
Entries 50–70¢—27% (won 92% of 1130)0%25% (won 69% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 98% of 1282)71% (won 80% of 5)6% (won 88% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.