PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x11111111110x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710Rex416GoalLineGhost
Record (consensus markets)97% (1131–33, n=1164)49% (1212–1266, n=2478)59% (2322–1582, n=3904)59% (2999–2052, n=5051)
Consensus PnL$41K$60K$36K$26.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993Hand-pickedPM monthly #247PM monthly #123
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)33% (4 of 12 open)78% (100 of 128 open)50% (21 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +36 pts n=452, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=199, ROI +35%
  • MLB +35 pts n=167, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74Tennis −4 pts, n=294—
Settled positions, side won100% of 896 at avg 64¢, ROI +37%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%56% of 4201 at avg 56¢, ROI +1%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 43)24% (won 19% of 254)28% (won 7% of 1156)9% (won 94% of 286)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 175)23% (won 40% of 241)12% (won 36% of 520)11% (won 98% of 330)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 290)29% (won 70% of 304)15% (won 61% of 611)22% (won 99% of 697)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 388)24% (won 89% of 250)46% (won 90% of 1914)58% (won 100% of 1787)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.