PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658twinnalinethmachinelearned
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (77–85, n=162)50% (214–217, n=431)65% (2206–1190, n=3396)
Consensus PnL—$60K$91K$35K
Tracked asPM monthly #678PM monthly #408PM monthly #835PM monthly #578
Sides with the consensus70% (30 of 43 open)82% (9 of 11 open)44% (4 of 9 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +25 pts n=1294, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—NHL −7 pts, n=103——
Settled positions, side won—49% of 197 at avg 47¢, ROI +7%63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17%98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢—18% (won 11% of 36)41% (won 29% of 177)3% (won 64% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢—39% (won 46% of 76)14% (won 72% of 58)6% (won 93% of 75)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 60% of 63)16% (won 84% of 67)28% (won 100% of 360)
Entries 70¢ and up—11% (won 86% of 22)30% (won 94% of 127)63% (won 100% of 818)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.