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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 53% (23–20, n=43) | 54% (233–198, n=431) | 36% (4–7, n=11) |
| Consensus PnL | -$192 | $543K | $261K | $165K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #598 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #634 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 70% (76 of 108 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 5 at avg 64¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 60% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 40% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $33K | Thunder $5.9K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Trail Blazers $563 | Thunder $5.2K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $111 | Thunder $4.4K | — |