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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (885–467, n=1352)no settled market83% (5–1, n=6)
Consensus PnL—$4.2M—$23K
Tracked as—PM monthly #21—PM monthly #925
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position82% (28 of 34 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—80% of 5 at avg 61¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 16% of 160)—0%
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 40% of 253)—40% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 57% of 310)—20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 544)—40% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.